We must be politically correct, says the NCAA, so I’ve changed the name of Penn State’s opponent from the very offensive Indian-a to the PC version, Nativeamericaniana. I feel better now. And while no one knows just what the hell a Hoosier is, I’m sure just from the sound of it that it must be offensive to someone, so I guess I have to call them the Whodats, just to be safe. But I digress (already).
The Penn State Nittany Lions (3-1, 0-0 Big Ten) kick off their B1G season on the road in Bloomington, where they face the up-and-coming Nativeamericaniana Whodats (2-2, 0-0 Big Ten), who actually have been putting some people in the seats of Memorial Stadium of late.
My right hand still hurts from the fractured second metacarpal, so I’m going to give up the politically correct moniker, for now, anyway. It’s just too much to have to type. I’m irritating the fracture, already, but probably not as much as I’m irritating you!
The IU logo looks like the Greek letter psi, the first letter of the Greek root for psyche, psychology, etc. When you consider that both Lee Corso and Bob Knight are former IU coaches, it is clear that the psi represents psycho!
(“In Rome, they spoke Latin or Greek, which I’m pretty sure are the same thing.” —Zane, who at the time of utterance was the 10 year-old son of Artificially Sweetened, but who now, approaching 12, is in the process of being disowned due to attitudinal issues in middle school, but once again, I irrelevantly digress.)
In any case, we have commissioned the famous cupcake baker, Aliya Kumquat, to provide her specialty items for the purpose of honoring our opponents, as is our tradition at the gatherings at The Cave and Mike’s Garage. Each cupcake will be red velvet cake with icing bearing the IU logo. At the end of the day, if we could figure out just what the hell a Hoosier is, maybe we could incorporate one into the food plan.
And now, the b.s…
Both schools are coming off a bye week. Indiana’s last game was a 45-28 barn burner loss to Mizzou, while Penn State had an easy time of it, shutting out Kent State 34-zip.
Citing statistics’ll kill ya*
IU brings an offense that looks great statistically, ranking 8th in passing yards, 49th in rushing yards, and 11th in points scored. However, who the hell have they played? One good way to pump up stats is to play Indiana State and ring up 73 points. Things will get a little tougher now that the conference schedule has arrived, even if the B1G does suck as a whole.
The IU defense hasn’t exactly been the Steel Curtain, you know. They’ve allowed 32.8 points per game, and yeah, that’s with Indiana State on the schedule (even ISU scored 35 on ’em).
Statistically, the Penn State defense looks better, having allowed an average of 14.5 points per game, which ranks 13th in the nation. However, for every Indiana State, there is an Eastern Michigan or a Kent State, so while I think Penn State has the better defense, it’s still too early to tell. The only halfway decent team they faced was UCF (who cheated, but since everybody cheats, it evens out), and they scored 35. So this game might or might not tell us something we’ve been wanting to know about the Penn State defense. We still don’t know whether Indiana’s offense is any good.
Quarterbacks’ll kill ya
But still, they stretch the field. Freshman quarterback Nate Sudfeld is presently the second best quarterback in the B1G, having passed for 1,100+ yards through four games. Erstwhile double threat sophomore quarterback Tre Roberson, who broke his leg early last year and received a medical red-shirt, is available for action, too. He has played an excellent second fiddle role in each game this season, scoring three touchdowns. In 2012’s 45-22 victory over the Who-siers, the Nittany Lions didn’t see either of those two; nevertheless, the quarterback of the day, Cam Coffman torched the PSU secondary with a 33-59, 454 yard performance, albeit suffering two interceptions. This here old birdbrain thinks that no matter who shows up at QB, Penn State’s secondary is exploitable, particularly if the front seven’s pass rush is unremarkable (as it was against UCF, cheating notwithstanding). Ryan Keiser is out, which could mean that the secondary is going to suck worse.
This is liable to be a shoot-out, kinda like last year. Last year, PSU ran the ball 44 times against what they considered to be a weak rushing defense. This year, Indiana ranks #115 in rushing defense, giving up 247 ypg, while they rank #37 in pass efficiency defense. Yeah, I’m betting that we see a lot of the rushing triumvirate of Zwinak, Belton, and Lynch. Keep the damn ball away from Indiana’s offense, and that means convert some damn third downs for a change, for cryin’ out loud (as St. Joe would say unless he knew no outsiders were listening). However, unless it rains again, O’Brien would be wise to let Hackenberg continue to work on his game, airing it out to his plethora of talented receivers to support the running game. Just don’t screw up, kid! (Lousy memory flashback from that Brick Dick game.)
On special teams, shhhhhh, Kickin’ Sam Ficken has sneakily become tops in the B1G. Shhhh. But there’s trouble in River City, because Alex Butterworth still suggggggggggs and Indiana has a decent punt return game. Although this should be a game with very few Penn State punts, I wouldn’t be surprised if a punt return led to an Indiana touchdown.
Turnovers’ll kill ya
Penn State is down in the deep, dark, dank, dusty dungeon of despair as regards turnover average with a -0.8 for the season thus far. Not good. Indiana is a -0.5 — not substantially better. Unless both teams suddenly clean up their acts, add some sloppiness to the stew.
Screwing up on third down’ll kill ya
How’s the great PSU quest for being worst in the FBS in third-down conversions? Well, hey, they’re slipping — at 21.2%, they’re now only fourth worst, with FIU, South Florida, and Miami of Ohio at the bottom of the heap. So much for the best offense in the B1G. Actually, the Nittany Lions’ opponents, Indiana are tied for 23rd in this category, converting third downs a respectable 50% of the time against defenses just as questionable as those Penn State has played against.
Weather’ll kill ya
The weather promises to be steamy Native American summer weather in Indiana, with a predicted high of 84°F/29°C, with a possible thunderstorm. If you don’t like Indiana weather, you know what they say. Wait 15 minutes and it will change. Of course, they say that everywhere about their weather, except maybe Antarctica, where you have to wait six months. Tropical Storm Karen is no threat to this game or to Indiana in general, so I don’t even know why I mentioned her. When’s the last time Indiana actually had a tropical storm? I don’t know. But the actual, real weather should only affect the big guys, who might wither a bit in the heat in the second half.
Who’s Who of the Who-siers
Last year we featured Dallas Mavericks owner and Internet billionaire Mark Cuban as an IU alumnus of note. This year, we present two individuals who have made their marks in different ways.
Our first honoree, Jared Fogle, who once wore size 62 pants, made his mark magically losing a significant amount of weight by eating Subway sandwiches and then becoming the 190 lb poster boy for Subway’s claim that their crap is healthful. Among his distinguished accomplishments as Subway spokesman was speaking at the grand opening of the first Kosher Subway, in Cleveland. Oy! they’re shakin’ in Shaker Heights, already! Additionally, in 2002, Fogle was the subject of the Jared Has Aides episode of South Park.
Our second featured IU alumnus is Jamie Hyneman, world-renowned special effects (FX) guru on every 14 year-old’s favorite Discovery Channel TV show, Mythbusters. While most watch the show to gawk at every geek’s favorite redhead, Kari Byron, Jamie’s quiet leadership and propensity for blowing stuff up is an attraction in itself. I include Kari as the picture for this section because neither Fogle nor Hyneman are worth looking at. Kari graduated magna cum laude with a B.A. in film and sculpture from San Francisco State University. She has no connection to Indiana University. So what?
When push comes to shove…
Here we go with the section you’ve been waiting for: The Official Turkey Poop Prognostication. How’s the Turkey doing thus far? Pretty damn close to perfect: 4-0 straight up, 4-0 against the spread, and 3-1 on the over/under. Still, I must present the following disclaimer: I pull these straight out of my ass, so if you gamble and lose your ass, mine ain’t responsible! Got it? Good. Now, let’s see what we kind of damn fool prognostication I can make for this week. You know, Indiana has never beaten Penn State. This week, the betting cognoscenti have set this game as pretty close, with Penn State favored by a field goal. The over/under at the time I’m scratching this out is 65. This suggests a shoot-out, as previously mentioned, ending up 34-31 in favor of the Nittany Lions. Absent a thunderstorm drenching the field, this turkey doesn’t think that’s enough scoring. Do you? I don’t, either. But they’ve got to convert third downs and quit coughing up the oblate spheroid, already, damnit! Another potential stumbling block would be a rogue game plan that didn’t exploit Indiana’s weaknesses, because they’re going to put up points. I think O’Brien might be able to reel himself in for this one. Penn State 48, Indiana 34. Take the damn over!
I’ll be back soon to tell you how well I did, or I’ll shut up if I didn’t do well in predicting this game. No, I won’t. You know me better than that. I take my lumps if I bring them on. Only the scorekeepers I pay off know any different.
___________
*What’s this “kill ya” crap all about, you ask? Well, I’m channeling Howard Cosell this past couple of weeks. Howard used to castigate his Monday Night Football broadcasting partners for their verbal ineptitude, particularly Frank Gifford and Dandy Don Meredith. Gifford was the guy who would vacuously intersperse vapid vagarisms such as “penalties’ll kill ya” or “turnovers’ll kill ya” into his inarticulate commentary.
One of my other favorite passages in Cosell’s books refers to short-lived MNF broadcasting partner O.J. Simpson, about whom Howard wrote, “I thought that a stint on Monday Night Football would improve Simpson’s diction. It didn’t.”
Speaking of sports, this is Turkey Cosell…
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K. John says
Everything with this game comes back to the Hoosiers clash with Mizzou. Missouri played nickel the entire game. Somethings with three linemen, sometimes with four. They used a mix of man and cover three as well as throwing some stunts which forced several Indiana turnovers. Mizzou was able to consistently get inside pressure throughout the game and they don’t have anyone nearly as good as DaQuan Jones on the roster. While the Turkey has maligned the Penn State secondary, they aren’t as bad as advertised. I think the mental lapses which helped give away the game against an inferior UCF team have been addressed. I don’t see Indiana’s offense equaling the 28 (14 in garbage time) they put on Mizzou unless the third team is in in the fourth.
Defensively, what else is there to say. Indiana has the worst defense Penn State will play this year, and that includes the Huron’s, oops, I meant the Eagles. I suspect there will be a feeling out period early on where the teams trade a few TDs like what happened against Mizzou then Penn State runs away with it.
Penn State 53, Indiana 24
The Nittany Turkey says
Just 53? You must be factoring in some turnovers or something.
I hope you’re right. I’d like nothing better than a major blowout to kick off the B1G schedule. Maligned secondary aside, we have similar ideas about this game.
—TNT
K. John says
I don’t think Penn State is going to punt in this game. I also meant it when I said that Indiana’s defense is the worst one on the schedule.
Also, go take a good long look at Indiana’s games so far. They weren’t very competitive in their two losses and their offense was contained by two bad defenses.
BigAl says
This isn’t a game I’d place a big bet on. Both teams have played erratically so far this year, so anything from a 21 point State win to 10 point loss would not surprise me..
The one constant is that State’s offense hasn’t played effectively for all 4 quarters. That should keep the game fairly close and the rain should dampen the scoring.
So, Penn State 36 – Indiana 31 . Indiana has the ball last with a chance to score the winning touchdown but screws it up. This series reminds me a lot of the PS-Maryland games in the 60s and 70s when Maryland would outplay State but choke in the 4th quarter and give the game away.
The Nittany Turkey says
I’d like to see a little more consistency from the offense, particularly in converting third downs. If I don’t see it in this game, I’m going to shut down the government and hold the VA for ransom.
My jock doc (who I’ve been seeing a lot lately for a broken hand, Achilles tendinitis, etc.) is a University of Maryland grad. Being a geezer like me, he remembers each one of those PSU-Md games of the 60s and 70s. The 50 year-old grudge came out when I asked whether he thought joining the B1G was a good idea. He responded that the president was a power hungry idiot: “He tried to sell this move in part by saying that the Penn State rivalry would be restored. What rivalry! We lost every game to Penn State back then!” He’s correct on that, which I didn’t realize until I researched the claim. Aside from a tie in 1989 and Maryland’s singular victory in 1961, Penn State has won every game of the all-time series, including all games between 1962 and 1988, the period in question.
Yeah, I’d be pissed off, too.
—TNT
Joe says
Well, I’ve got to make the 180 from following the Pirates in the NLDS or whatever the hell Selig calls it to the Lions, and I must say I’m going to have to get myself jacked up for a noon kick on Saturday against Indiana after a bye week.
I do agree with Big Al, I don’t know where this one is going to end up. Deep inside, I would not be surprised to see Hoosier nation break the Oh-fer slump against the Lions this year as they just may have a more explosive offense than we do, but I’m not expecting to get hit by a meteroite or wake up in the morning and find out that our president has decided to act, well like a president so I think the Lions win 38-28 in a sloppy back and forth game.
Several things have to happen to put #4 in the “W” column:
-The DL must get pressure (not necessarily sacks) on Sudfeld. He can’t have time to throw as he appears to be pretty good at that.
-Our secondary has to play like they don’t have a load in their pants. Can’t afford to have people blow coverage, be out of position or allow receivers to get behind them.
-Our running back triumvirate has got to have a 300-400 yard afternoon.
-BoB has to get his play calling head out of his ass. Hack may have all the potential in the world, but he’s not Tom Brady right now.
-Hackenburg has to be functionally sound.
-Mr Superstar (Allen Robinson) has to play to his abilities, and not allow a pissant DB keep him from getting open like in the Kent State game.
-Don’t look past Indiana to Michigan!
If all of the above happen, we’re golden, but I’m still keeping my wallet in my pocket on this one.
K. John says
I think it is time to end the John Butler experiment. He is in over his head. He should be demoted and a new defensive coordinator brought in. Bill O’Brien also needs to hire an offensive coordinator and give up play calling duties. There is no excuse for losing to Indiana.
Joe says
I had the same thoughts this afternoon, but I think there are some other issues here that everyone had glossed over, which I’ll cover in the comments to the NT’s post mortem of the game.
Just so you’re aware, you can’t demote Butler and hire an OC (Friedgen?) without removing coaches. The NCAA limits you to 9 assistants plus the HC, and we are there. We have four on defense:
Midget, Butler Vanderlinden and Johnson
and 5 on offense:
McWhorter, Strollo, London, Hixson & Fischer
Alas there is no more room at the inn! Never thought I would miss Ted Roof!