#22 Penn State (2-0) visits Auburn (2-0)
Can I produce post titles, or what? Shit, yeah! Today’s title will make sense for you (or not) if you read further when we delve into trivia after presenting the basics.
Penn State (2-0, 1-0 Big Ten), somehow ranked #22 by the AP, thus raising Sanguinarian® expectations, travels to Auburn (2-0, 0-0 SEC) for the premiere out-of-conference game of the year for both squads. Auburn is coming off a squeaky, 24-16 victory over San José State, a game in which the Tigers were heavily favored, while the Nittany Lions, as you know, kicked some serious Ohio U ass, 46-10. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, which means 2:30 in Alabama.
Going Orange
Le Grand Orange was the nickname the Montreal Expos hung on Rusty Staub, their big first baseman, because he was big, and he had red hair. Ginger. Rusty. Orange. Although he was with the Expos for only three seasons (1969-1971), the locals loved the slugger so much that the Expos retired his #10 jersey. So, just how the hell does that affect what we’re here to talk about?
I’ll tell you. Auburn must have hired Guido d’Elia in the off-season, because the Tigers, big on pageantry, have declared this game to be an “orange-out” in Jordan-Hare Stadium. Yea, verily, with an expected crowd of 80,000 plus, Jordan’s Hair will be bright orange. The Nittany Lions might well feel as if they’re in the prison yard football movie “The Longest Yard.”
King James Prepares
At his media mash-up yesterday, PSU head coach James Franklin said that he was doing whatever he could do to prepare the troops for the environment in Auburn. I don’t know whether he rented an eagle to fly around Holuba Hall, so that phase — preparation for the mighty War Eagle — could be lacking. However, he mentioned the orange-out and something funny going on with the scoreboard at one end of the stadium, plus the noise, so who knows what form preparation will take? I’m hoping that it won’t involve orange paint.
Speaking of which…
Orange paint brings back memories of studenthood at Penn State in the 1960s, when we would do all-night guard duty around the Nittany Lion sculpture on the eve of the Syracuse game. Rumor had it that student pranksters from Syracuse were packing orange paint and were prepared to douse our sacred lion with it. The co-eds (what we used to call what are now known as womyn) set up a coffee stand and a socialization area in front of Pattee Library. I remember it like it was yesterday, even though I had brought a flask of something more internally warming than coffee. Those days are long gone, but nostalgia is comfort for aged old farts like this foul old fowl. So, I will continue to bore you with these digressions.
But I digress…
Auburn is a run-oriented football team, and that spells trouble for the not yet coalesced front seven of Penn State. They better start making some tackles. In the SJSU game, Auburn’s ground attack produced 210 yards. Their leading rusher was freshman QB Robbie Ashford, with 61; in his previous outing against Mercer, he ran for 100 yards. Tank Bigsby, their big junior tailback, had 51 yards on 13 attempts, an off day after his 16-147 against Mercer. You might remember Tank from last year’s game with PSU, where he gained 102 yards on 23 carries.
Quarterback Controversies Everywhere
Auburn is no exception to the requisite quarterback controversy at this stage of the season. In addition to Ashford, there is junior QB T. J. Finley, a huge, 6’7″, 250 lb pocket passer who went 13-20 for 167 yards in his outing against SJSU. His stats in the prior game were similar. Finley was named starting QB prior to the season, but Ashford made his strong presence felt when he was tapped in the second half of the Mercer game. Head coach Bryan Harsin maintains that Finley is the starter and indeed, he is listed as the only starter for the Penn State game. (This, after last week’s depth chart listed Finley OR Ashford as the starting QB).
So, Auburn will give a couple of different offensive looks, depending on who is lining up at QB. Aside from that, here’s more trivia for you. Finley, a transfer portal acquisition from LSU, was the first college football player to sign an NIL deal with Amazon. However, a search on Amazon yields no T. J. Finley jerseys or any other sportsmerch. Speaking of the transfer portal, the Tigers also acquired QB Zach Calzada from Texas A & M. Ain’t the pecuniary world of college football in 2022 just darling?
Ain’t No Defense for Dat
Defensively, Auburn gave up 329 total yards to SJSU, 275 of which were aerial. They shut down the running attack very well, allowing only 54 yards on 29 attempts. In the prior game, they held mighty Mercer to 31-74. Unless Penn State can continue to break Nick Singleton loose on the outside, Penn State will need to throw the ball much of the time. I don’t think you can count on our offensive line to enable the inside running game quite yet, and this team still sucks at converting third downs. Franklin mentioned it in his presser — said they’re going to work on it. Yeah, right.
Famous Alumni and Alumnae
In the old days before all the gender bullshit and sensitivity to gender-specific suffixes, we classified all students who were graduated by an academic institution, without regard to their gender pronoun (he, she, it, sheeit, they, whateverthefuck) as alumni, which is the plural of the Latin masculine alumnus. For coeds (what womyn, women, girls, broads, babes, chicks, wool or whatever were formerly called in the college context), we used the Latin feminine alumna, of which the plural is alumnae. But no longer. From supposedly college-educated idiots of 2022, we hear such abominable utterances as, “I am a alumni of the University of Pittsburgh” (just a random example 🙂 ). This is utter bullshit! Back to the point, I’m simply happy that the Penn State Alumni Association has not (yet) become the Penn State Alumthey Association.
Of course, that previous paragraph got us nowhere. We’re here to name some important alumni of Auburn University. You’re all aware of names like Charles Barkley and Bo Jackson, no doubt. But did you know that Tim Cook, CEO of Apple Computer, is a 1982 alumnus? Well, I didn’t either. No way I’m going to put a picture of his face here, so I’ll move on.
Notre Dame is 0-2
While drinking my morning coffee, I encountered an article no doubt written by a Fighting Irish homey on Fentanyl, desperately declaring that Notre Dame still could make the playoffs. Ever have coffee explode out of your nose?
Da Wedda
The weather in Auburn Alabama in mid-September is always a factor. Our genius head coach has stated that he will prepare the team for the heat (along with the eagle, the scoreboard, and the sea of orange I previously mentioned) by piping steam heat into Holuba Hall. Heat strokes are anticipated. However, this could all be overblown, as a late summer cold front makes its way across the Heart of Dixie.
Our friends at AccuWeather are anticipating a nice football afternoon, with a high of 85 and a RealFeel® of 90. Not so hot, from this Turkey’s Central Florida perspective. So, we’ll have more heat strokes in practice in steam heated Holuba Hall than in Jordan-Hare.
Da Bottom Line
We’ve reached the point in the season at which we think we know something about the Nittany Lions. Yet there are still many unknowns, including weaknesses in tackling and pass rush by the front seven, as well as the omnipresent question marks regarding the offensive line. This makes the Official Turkey Poop Prognostication a crapshoot, but that is what I do here: shoot crap.
The notion of relying on explosive plays is also confuddling. Penn State’s third-down production is putrid, which will bite us badly in close games where the nuclear option has been nullified. I am just not comfortable with an offensive so unproductive on third down. Don’t let 46 points against Ohio U jade you.
Getting there, already…
Last week, I screwed up big time, thinking PSU wouldn’t cover the spread and that Ohio U could keep it close. I learned something from that. What did I learn? I learned that, despite my age, I have not yet acquired the requisite wisdom to intelligently forecast football games, so I resort to bullshit. There! I’ve taken myself out of the pressure cooker, and I can spew nonsense again. (As if I ever stopped…).
The current line in Las Vegas is Penn State by 3 and an over/under of 47.5. That works out to a Penn State victory of 26-22 on hostile turf. Can Nick Singleton do it again? The Auburn defense is not Ohio U, so this is a big test, one that will leave the Sanguinarians crying in their beer. Auburn runs for 300 yards and shuts down the mighty Nittany Lion offense’s plastic explosives. Meanwhile, with explosions stifled, the Nittany Lions go 3-15 on third-down and punt a lot. Auburn 24, Penn State 20. Take the under this time again, maybe, perhaps.
I’ll be back after the big game to give you something more to think about, mister! (Echoing the ancient words of my late dad). Was he wrong to call me “mister” before I made the decision regarding which of the currently available six genders I ultimately wanted to be? Wait, we have way more than six. Calculus is involved, as “non-binary” is a continuum. But I digress…
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K. John says
I didn’t necessary think Ohio would keep it close but I did think they would maintain their first quarter play at least until the fourth. Speaking of the first quarter. We saw a lot of last year in the first quarter until Singleton went off, mostly on his own though his biggest play was made possible by a guard actually properly executing the wide pull and shield technique (pull around the right tackle, shield a defender five yards downfield cutting off backside pursuit) that was lacking all last year (and for the rest of the game actually indicating it was an anomaly) which was refreshing. Sadly though. Clifford was sacked, pressured and many runs were blown up at the line of scrimmage. We did have one notably deep pass play (needed for the offense to run at full speed) but that was partly driven by missteps by the DB. Bottom line, I think we are slightly better on offense than last year, and will be even on defense due to better coaching but lesser talent.
Auburn is simply an enigma at this point. The defense looks legit. The offense is anyone’s guess. To pull one out of this ex-paratroopers fourth point of contact, Auburn contains Singleton on D allowing a couple of big plays in the back end while their offense runs on our D and throws overtop the blitz (Ohio did is pretty well which means Auburn will do it better) and we go back and fourth for four quarter).
Penn State 27
Auburn 24 to 30
I honestly don’t know. I’ll go with the win.
The Nittany Turkey says
I enjoyed the paratrooper metaphor. I think my oblique and somewhat inscrutable writing style must be rubbing off on you, although in that particular area, I’m typically more direct about where I’m pulling my predictions.
My feeling is that PSU’s salvation will be in suckering the Auburn QB tandem into throwing the ball. Each of the two threw an INT last week. You know what Darrell Royal said about throwing the ball. To convert that strategy requires DBs who can catch, and that brings up another anonymous (as far as I know) quote: “If they could catch, they would be playing on offense.”
I like your sliding prediction, which mirrors my feeling that it could go either way. I chose to go with Auburn because each win at this juncture makes the Sanguinarians think PSU is one step closer to the playoffs, and like last year, their comeuppance is inevitable and will hit hard. Losing to Auburn will shut their traps early, so I can have some peace and devote my writing to gender inequality and racial harmony.
—TNT
Big Al says
I’d love it if Auburn celebrated their “orangeout” by wearing all orange uniforms with navy blue tiger stripes. If they’re going to imitate our whiteout, they should also imitate Florida’s anatomically correct gator uniforms of yore. Under Armor is their uniform supplier, so I’m sure they’d gladly provide them.
Regarding the game itself, the Kitties still can’t run between the tackles and Pinegar’s kicking still sucks. And I’m not convinced that State’s front seven can stop the run or handle a mobile quarterback. I am pretty sure that a mobile quarterback who can both pass and run will tear them a new asshole. Fortunately, Auburn has a starting qb that can’t run and back up qb that apparently can’t pass. So State can load the box when the back up is in, and pray that the safeties and linebackers read their keys correctly and maintain gap integrity when the starter is in.
All this suggests a close game that will be decided by one score in the last minute. My gut tells me Pinegar’s kicking costs Penn State this game. Gomers 24-State 23 after Pinegar misses a chip shot field goal in the 4th quarter.
BTW The Pitt “alumni” you cited might not use they/them for preferred pronouns. Nobody takes Latin anymore and people don’t understand that grammatical point. T shirt suppliers have been selling t-shirts with “(insert name of school) alumni” for decades,
The Nittany Turkey says
My autistic rants about Latin grammar are for self-amusement. However, what t-shirt vendors do will never guide my linguistic ventures. In fact I own one that proudly declares that I am an “alumni” of STFU University.
I pray that this game does not resemble the Steelers’ opening clownfest with Cincinnati, although there is a decided bias in my mind toward that type of circus. We’ll have eagles, flashing scoreboards, a two-headed quarterback, orange greasepaint, a twelfth-year quarterback, a Tank, and a kicker who can’t kick.
Franklin’s postgame critique will include who won the clown battle and he’ll blame the PSU failure on heat and eagles.
As for the two-headed QB, when Ashford was allowed to throw, he completed half his passes. Finley’s percentage is 64.7. However, Ashford has only ten attempts. Finley has three INTs and Ashford has one. I suspect that Ashford, who is just a freshman, is the future QB at Auburn, and he’s getting a year of seasoning — until Finley screws up royally in an important conference game and the fans start calling for Harsin’s head on a spike. If they stick with Finley, who is a junior, Ashford will likely find the transfer portal appealing.
—TNT
Tom Wilson says
I have to admit that about midway through the second quarter your 24 – 20 prediction might hold up. Then the wall collapsed on Auburn.